Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market on the strength of Martin McDonagh’s recent Venice and Telluride premieres, where the black comedy earned extended standing ovations and immediate awards chatter for its sharp, satirical script. McDonagh’s established awards pedigree with films like Three Billboards and The Banshees of Inisherin, combined with Searchlight’s campaign muscle and a stacked ensemble, gives it a clear edge over a crowded field. Obsession, The Debut, Digger, and Elsinore sit close behind on filmmaker reputation and early tracking, while most other contenders remain pre-release or un-screened, leaving the race highly fluid. Critical consensus after wider fall festivals, WGA nods, and guild momentum will likely drive the next shifts as more 2026 originals enter the awards cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
The Debut 35.5%
Wild Horse Nine 33%
Obsession 10%
Elsinore 7.6%
$36,112 Vol.
$36,112 Vol.
The Debut
36%
Wild Horse Nine
33%
Obsession
10%
Elsinore
8%
Digger
4%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
Josephine
3%
A Place in Hell
3%
The Odyssey
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
Fjord
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Club Kid
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
<1%
The Debut 35.5%
Wild Horse Nine 33%
Obsession 10%
Elsinore 7.6%
$36,112 Vol.
$36,112 Vol.
The Debut
36%
Wild Horse Nine
33%
Obsession
10%
Elsinore
8%
Digger
4%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
Josephine
3%
A Place in Hell
3%
The Odyssey
3%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
3%
Fjord
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
Club Kid
1%
Fatherland
1%
The Black Ball
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine leads early trader sentiment in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market on the strength of Martin McDonagh’s recent Venice and Telluride premieres, where the black comedy earned extended standing ovations and immediate awards chatter for its sharp, satirical script. McDonagh’s established awards pedigree with films like Three Billboards and The Banshees of Inisherin, combined with Searchlight’s campaign muscle and a stacked ensemble, gives it a clear edge over a crowded field. Obsession, The Debut, Digger, and Elsinore sit close behind on filmmaker reputation and early tracking, while most other contenders remain pre-release or un-screened, leaving the race highly fluid. Critical consensus after wider fall festivals, WGA nods, and guild momentum will likely drive the next shifts as more 2026 originals enter the awards cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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