The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 72% implied probability after its Cannes Best Director win, strong critical reception for its ambitious queer historical epic, and Spain’s recent official selection as its Oscar entry with Netflix’s robust backing. Other early submissions like Possible Love (Lee Chang-dong’s Venice Grand Jury Prize winner from South Korea), All of a Sudden (Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s Japan pick), Fjord (Romania’s Palme d’Or recipient), and Fatherland sit at lower odds amid a crowded field of festival titles still finalizing eligibility before the September 30 deadline. With the Academy’s 15-film shortlist not due until December 15 and nominations in January, momentum hinges on further precursor buzz, guild attention, and how these auteur-driven dramas perform in limited releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscar 2027: miglior film internazionale
Oscar 2027: miglior film internazionale
The Black Ball 72%
Fatherland 8.7%
Possibile amore 8.5%
All of a Sudden 4.5%
$25,394 Vol.
$25,394 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Black Ball
72%
Fatherland
9%
Possibile amore
9%
All of a Sudden
5%
Fjord
4%
Minotauro
2%
The Beloved
7%
Bitter Christmas
1%
Coward
1%
Parallel Tales
1%
Sheep in the Box
<1%
The Dreamed Adventure
<1%
Rose
<1%
The Man I Love
<1%
Hope
<1%
The Black Ball 72%
Fatherland 8.7%
Possibile amore 8.5%
All of a Sudden 4.5%
$25,394 Vol.
$25,394 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Black Ball
$12,094 Vol.
72%
Fatherland
$1,445 Vol.
9%
Possibile amore
$891 Vol.
9%
All of a Sudden
$1,017 Vol.
5%
Fjord
$1,537 Vol.
4%
Minotauro
$1,020 Vol.
2%
The Beloved
$1,424 Vol.
7%
Bitter Christmas
$548 Vol.
1%
Coward
$816 Vol.
1%
Parallel Tales
$715 Vol.
1%
Sheep in the Box
$694 Vol.
<1%
The Dreamed Adventure
$554 Vol.
<1%
Rose
$1,244 Vol.
<1%
The Man I Love
$690 Vol.
<1%
Hope
$705 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 72% implied probability after its Cannes Best Director win, strong critical reception for its ambitious queer historical epic, and Spain’s recent official selection as its Oscar entry with Netflix’s robust backing. Other early submissions like Possible Love (Lee Chang-dong’s Venice Grand Jury Prize winner from South Korea), All of a Sudden (Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s Japan pick), Fjord (Romania’s Palme d’Or recipient), and Fatherland sit at lower odds amid a crowded field of festival titles still finalizing eligibility before the September 30 deadline. With the Academy’s 15-film shortlist not due until December 15 and nominations in January, momentum hinges on further precursor buzz, guild attention, and how these auteur-driven dramas perform in limited releases.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ET
Volume
$25,394Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 72% implied probability after its Cannes Best Director win, strong critical reception for its ambitious queer historical epic, and Spain’s recent official selection as its Oscar entry with Netflix’s robust backing. Other early submissions like Possible Love (Lee Chang-dong’s Venice Grand Jury Prize winner from South Korea), All of a Sudden (Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s Japan pick), Fjord (Romania’s Palme d’Or recipient), and Fatherland sit at lower odds amid a crowded field of festival titles still finalizing eligibility before the September 30 deadline. With the Academy’s 15-film shortlist not due until December 15 and nominations in January, momentum hinges on further precursor buzz, guild attention, and how these auteur-driven dramas perform in limited releases.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,394Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:34 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Black Ball leads trader sentiment at 72% implied probability after its Cannes Best Director win, strong critical reception for its ambitious queer historical epic, and Spain’s recent official selection as its Oscar entry with Netflix’s robust backing. Other early submissions like Possible Love (Lee Chang-dong’s Venice Grand Jury Prize winner from South Korea), All of a Sudden (Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s Japan pick), Fjord (Romania’s Palme d’Or recipient), and Fatherland sit at lower odds amid a crowded field of festival titles still finalizing eligibility before the September 30 deadline. With the Academy’s 15-film shortlist not due until December 15 and nominations in January, momentum hinges on further precursor buzz, guild attention, and how these auteur-driven dramas perform in limited releases.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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