The Odyssey leads the early 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s summer release, which has delivered massive box office results and widespread critical acclaim following his Oppenheimer triumph. Close behind sit The Invite at 24% and The Black Ball at 17.5%, reflecting solid precursor positioning and campaign momentum for those adaptations. Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and several others trail in single digits, buoyed by strong reviews, high-profile talent, and source-material prestige but facing tighter competition. With no guild or major critics’ awards yet decided, traders are weighing epic scale and audience reach against innovative storytelling and late-year festival potential in a still-fluid race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 28%
The Invite 24%
The Black Ball 18%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$23,180 Vol.
$23,180 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
28%
The Invite
24%
The Black Ball
18%
Project Hail Mary
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6%
Wildwood
6%
Dune: Part Three
5%
Ink
5%
The Social Reckoning
5%
Clarissa
2%
Cry to Heaven
1%
All of a Sudden
1%
Saturn Return
1%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Whisper Man
1%
The Odyssey 28%
The Invite 24%
The Black Ball 18%
Project Hail Mary 6.7%
$23,180 Vol.
$23,180 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
$2,029 Vol.
28%
The Invite
$4,290 Vol.
24%
The Black Ball
$12,668 Vol.
18%
Project Hail Mary
$449 Vol.
7%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$246 Vol.
6%
Wildwood
$512 Vol.
6%
Dune: Part Three
$393 Vol.
5%
Ink
$829 Vol.
5%
The Social Reckoning
$232 Vol.
5%
Clarissa
$162 Vol.
2%
Cry to Heaven
$201 Vol.
1%
All of a Sudden
$475 Vol.
1%
Saturn Return
$185 Vol.
1%
Toy Story 5
$323 Vol.
1%
The Whisper Man
$187 Vol.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the early 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s summer release, which has delivered massive box office results and widespread critical acclaim following his Oppenheimer triumph. Close behind sit The Invite at 24% and The Black Ball at 17.5%, reflecting solid precursor positioning and campaign momentum for those adaptations. Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and several others trail in single digits, buoyed by strong reviews, high-profile talent, and source-material prestige but facing tighter competition. With no guild or major critics’ awards yet decided, traders are weighing epic scale and audience reach against innovative storytelling and late-year festival potential in a still-fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,180Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the early 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s summer release, which has delivered massive box office results and widespread critical acclaim following his Oppenheimer triumph. Close behind sit The Invite at 24% and The Black Ball at 17.5%, reflecting solid precursor positioning and campaign momentum for those adaptations. Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and several others trail in single digits, buoyed by strong reviews, high-profile talent, and source-material prestige but facing tighter competition. With no guild or major critics’ awards yet decided, traders are weighing epic scale and audience reach against innovative storytelling and late-year festival potential in a still-fluid race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,180Data di fine
14 mar 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Odyssey leads the early 2027 Best Adapted Screenplay market at 28% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s summer release, which has delivered massive box office results and widespread critical acclaim following his Oppenheimer triumph. Close behind sit The Invite at 24% and The Black Ball at 17.5%, reflecting solid precursor positioning and campaign momentum for those adaptations. Project Hail Mary, Dune: Part Three, and several others trail in single digits, buoyed by strong reviews, high-profile talent, and source-material prestige but facing tighter competition. With no guild or major critics’ awards yet decided, traders are weighing epic scale and audience reach against innovative storytelling and late-year festival potential in a still-fluid race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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