Oklahoma's entrenched Republican trifecta and history of gubernatorial landslides—averaging nearly 20-point GOP margins over the past five cycles—anchor trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner in the open-seat 2026 race to replace term-limited Gov. Kevin Stitt. Recent GOP primary polling from February shows Attorney General Gentner Drummond leading with 36% against a fragmented field of 15 candidates finalized after last week's filing deadline, positioning the party for a strong nominee ahead of the June 16 primary. Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson, lack competitive statewide polling or infrastructure in this solid Republican state. While scandals, a divisive GOP runoff, or national Democratic momentum could narrow odds, traders see slim paths to an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$16,350 Vol.
$16,350 Vol.

Repubblicano
92%

Democratico
7%
$16,350 Vol.
$16,350 Vol.

Repubblicano
92%

Democratico
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican trifecta and history of gubernatorial landslides—averaging nearly 20-point GOP margins over the past five cycles—anchor trader consensus at 92% for a Republican winner in the open-seat 2026 race to replace term-limited Gov. Kevin Stitt. Recent GOP primary polling from February shows Attorney General Gentner Drummond leading with 36% against a fragmented field of 15 candidates finalized after last week's filing deadline, positioning the party for a strong nominee ahead of the June 16 primary. Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson, lack competitive statewide polling or infrastructure in this solid Republican state. While scandals, a divisive GOP runoff, or national Democratic momentum could narrow odds, traders see slim paths to an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti