Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney seeks re-election in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural Upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections with an R+11 partisan voting index. Tenney secured roughly 66 percent of the vote in both 2022 and 2024, reflecting consistent voter registration and turnout advantages that limit Democratic prospects. The June 23, 2026 primaries feature Tenney facing a Republican challenger alongside multiple Democratic entrants, yet no development has altered the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign an 83.5 percent implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical patterns in similarly partisan seats where incumbents face limited opposition.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,130 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$1,750 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney seeks re-election in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural Upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections with an R+11 partisan voting index. Tenney secured roughly 66 percent of the vote in both 2022 and 2024, reflecting consistent voter registration and turnout advantages that limit Democratic prospects. The June 23, 2026 primaries feature Tenney facing a Republican challenger alongside multiple Democratic entrants, yet no development has altered the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign an 83.5 percent implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical patterns in similarly partisan seats where incumbents face limited opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,880Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney seeks re-election in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural Upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections with an R+11 partisan voting index. Tenney secured roughly 66 percent of the vote in both 2022 and 2024, reflecting consistent voter registration and turnout advantages that limit Democratic prospects. The June 23, 2026 primaries feature Tenney facing a Republican challenger alongside multiple Democratic entrants, yet no development has altered the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign an 83.5 percent implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical patterns in similarly partisan seats where incumbents face limited opposition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,880Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney seeks re-election in New York’s 24th congressional district, a rural Upstate area along Lake Ontario rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections with an R+11 partisan voting index. Tenney secured roughly 66 percent of the vote in both 2022 and 2024, reflecting consistent voter registration and turnout advantages that limit Democratic prospects. The June 23, 2026 primaries feature Tenney facing a Republican challenger alongside multiple Democratic entrants, yet no development has altered the district’s structural tilt. Traders assign an 83.5 percent implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing in November, consistent with historical patterns in similarly partisan seats where incumbents face limited opposition.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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