NY-14's heavily Democratic voter base and strong partisan voting index underpin the dominant trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition on June 23, with no Republican challenger positioned to narrow the historical gap that produced her 69 percent margin in 2024. The district's consistent enrollment advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health development, or unexpected primary surge could still alter the outcome before November, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent major unforeseen events.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-14
$38,868 Vol.
$38,868 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
7%
$38,868 Vol.
$38,868 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$27,206 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$11,662 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-14's heavily Democratic voter base and strong partisan voting index underpin the dominant trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition on June 23, with no Republican challenger positioned to narrow the historical gap that produced her 69 percent margin in 2024. The district's consistent enrollment advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health development, or unexpected primary surge could still alter the outcome before November, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent major unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,868Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-14's heavily Democratic voter base and strong partisan voting index underpin the dominant trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition on June 23, with no Republican challenger positioned to narrow the historical gap that produced her 69 percent margin in 2024. The district's consistent enrollment advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health development, or unexpected primary surge could still alter the outcome before November, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent major unforeseen events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,868Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-14's heavily Democratic voter base and strong partisan voting index underpin the dominant trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez faces only minor primary opposition on June 23, with no Republican challenger positioned to narrow the historical gap that produced her 69 percent margin in 2024. The district's consistent enrollment advantage and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable. A late scandal, health development, or unexpected primary surge could still alter the outcome before November, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent major unforeseen events.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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