Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino seeks re-election in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6. The seat’s working-class South Shore base shifted further right in recent cycles, and Garbarino’s 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote established a durable advantage. Republican consolidation behind the incumbent has held steady ahead of the June 23 primaries, while the Democratic field remains divided among multiple candidates. These structural factors, including the district’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and House contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at current odds. No major developments in the past month have altered the underlying partisan math.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,829 Vol.
74%
Democratic Party
$5,936 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino seeks re-election in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6. The seat’s working-class South Shore base shifted further right in recent cycles, and Garbarino’s 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote established a durable advantage. Republican consolidation behind the incumbent has held steady ahead of the June 23 primaries, while the Democratic field remains divided among multiple candidates. These structural factors, including the district’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and House contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at current odds. No major developments in the past month have altered the underlying partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$8,764Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino seeks re-election in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6. The seat’s working-class South Shore base shifted further right in recent cycles, and Garbarino’s 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote established a durable advantage. Republican consolidation behind the incumbent has held steady ahead of the June 23 primaries, while the Democratic field remains divided among multiple candidates. These structural factors, including the district’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and House contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at current odds. No major developments in the past month have altered the underlying partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,764Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Andrew Garbarino seeks re-election in New York’s 2nd congressional district, rated Solid Republican with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6. The seat’s working-class South Shore base shifted further right in recent cycles, and Garbarino’s 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote established a durable advantage. Republican consolidation behind the incumbent has held steady ahead of the June 23 primaries, while the Democratic field remains divided among multiple candidates. These structural factors, including the district’s consistent Republican performance in presidential and House contests, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at current odds. No major developments in the past month have altered the underlying partisan math.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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