Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone’s long tenure representing New Jersey’s 6th district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic lean and voter registration advantage, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and Pallone’s prior victories, including 56 percent in 2024, reflect reliable support in key Middlesex and Monmouth County communities. The June 2 Democratic primary features challengers but does not appear to threaten the party’s general-election position. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments such as an incumbent retirement or major scandal to materially shift the current implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-06 House Election Winner
NJ-06 House Election Winner
$15,141 Vol.
$15,141 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$15,141 Vol.
$15,141 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$7,069 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$8,072 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone’s long tenure representing New Jersey’s 6th district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic lean and voter registration advantage, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and Pallone’s prior victories, including 56 percent in 2024, reflect reliable support in key Middlesex and Monmouth County communities. The June 2 Democratic primary features challengers but does not appear to threaten the party’s general-election position. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments such as an incumbent retirement or major scandal to materially shift the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$15,141Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone’s long tenure representing New Jersey’s 6th district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic lean and voter registration advantage, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and Pallone’s prior victories, including 56 percent in 2024, reflect reliable support in key Middlesex and Monmouth County communities. The June 2 Democratic primary features challengers but does not appear to threaten the party’s general-election position. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments such as an incumbent retirement or major scandal to materially shift the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,141Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone’s long tenure representing New Jersey’s 6th district, combined with the area’s consistent Democratic lean and voter registration advantage, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+5 and Pallone’s prior victories, including 56 percent in 2024, reflect reliable support in key Middlesex and Monmouth County communities. The June 2 Democratic primary features challengers but does not appear to threaten the party’s general-election position. A Republican win would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments such as an incumbent retirement or major scandal to materially shift the current implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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