Andris Kulbergs holds a commanding position in the market for Latvia’s next prime minister following his United List party’s record 35% victory and 41–42 seats in the 3 October 2026 parliamentary election. The result gave his centrist, pro-EU, pro-Ukraine alliance the largest bloc in the Saeima and positioned him to lead coalition talks with likely partners such as the National Alliance and New Unity. President Edgars Rinkēvičs has already directed Kulbergs to begin negotiations, with the aim of forming a government by mid-November to address the 2027 budget and security priorities. Traders assign near-certainty to his continuation because the election outcome and ongoing mandate make alternative candidates improbable absent major coalition breakdowns or unforeseen developments before the new Saeima convenes.