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Geopolitica·Leadership Laburista Nel Regno Unito

Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)

icon for Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)
Geopolitica·Leadership Laburista Nel Regno Unito

Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)

dic 31

dic 31

Netanyahu - Primo Ministro di Israele 43%

Nessuno prima del 2027 33%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente di Cuba 7.5%

Lecornu - Primo ministro francese 2.6%

Polymarket

$188,795 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primo Ministro di Israele 43%

Nessuno prima del 2027 33%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente di Cuba 7.5%

Lecornu - Primo ministro francese 2.6%

Polymarket

$188,795 Vol.

Netanyahu - Primo Ministro di Israele

$12,471 Vol.

43%

Nessuno prima del 2027

$72,988 Vol.

33%

Díaz-Canel - Presidente di Cuba

$6,962 Vol.

8%

Lecornu - Primo ministro francese

$5,799 Vol.

3%

Merz - Cancelliere tedesco

$4,272 Vol.

2%

Rodríguez - Presidente ad interim del Venezuela

$8,455 Vol.

2%

Sánchez - Primo Ministro spagnolo

$4,630 Vol.

2%

Xi - Segretario Generale del PCC

$6,329 Vol.

2%

Putin - Presidente della Russia

$5,477 Vol.

1%

Abbas - Presidente della Palestina

$4,577 Vol.

1%

Zelenskyy - Presidente dell'Ucraina

$5,260 Vol.

1%

Lula da Silva - Presidente del Brasile

$5,201 Vol.

1%

Trump - Presidente USA

$3,983 Vol.

1%

Macron - Presidente della Francia

$6,678 Vol.

1%

Kim - Leader Supremo della Corea del Nord

$3,950 Vol.

1%

Takaichi - Primo Ministro del Giappone

$4,232 Vol.

1%

Erdoğan - Presidente della Turchia

$5,061 Vol.

<1%

Sheinbaum - Presidente del Messico

$5,306 Vol.

<1%

Newsom - Governatore della California

$3,575 Vol.

<1%

Milei - Presidente dell'Argentina

$3,772 Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Presidente della Siria

$4,953 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Primo Ministro dell'Australia

$4,864 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads market pricing at 42.5% because Israel’s October 27, 2026 legislative election is widely viewed as a referendum on his leadership. Successive polls show his Likud-led coalition trailing rivals amid persistent security concerns after October 2023 and coalition fractures, raising the prospect of a new government before year-end and therefore before 2027. The “none before 2027” outcome at 32.5% captures the counter-view that Netanyahu could survive as interim prime minister or that no other listed leader faces comparable near-term electoral or institutional pressure. Lower-priced names such as Díaz-Canel reflect Cuba’s stable one-party structure with no scheduled transition, while French, German, and other European figures trail due to longer constitutional terms or recent confirmations that reduce immediate removal risk. Trader consensus therefore centers on the narrow Israeli electoral window as the dominant near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$188,795
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Netanyahu leads market pricing at 42.5% because Israel’s October 27, 2026 legislative election is widely viewed as a referendum on his leadership. Successive polls show his Likud-led coalition trailing rivals amid persistent security concerns after October 2023 and coalition fractures, raising the prospect of a new government before year-end and therefore before 2027. The “none before 2027” outcome at 32.5% captures the counter-view that Netanyahu could survive as interim prime minister or that no other listed leader faces comparable near-term electoral or institutional pressure. Lower-priced names such as Díaz-Canel reflect Cuba’s stable one-party structure with no scheduled transition, while French, German, and other European figures trail due to longer constitutional terms or recent confirmations that reduce immediate removal risk. Trader consensus therefore centers on the narrow Israeli electoral window as the dominant near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$188,795
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 22 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Netanyahu - Primo Ministro di Israele" a 43%, seguito da "Nessuno prima del 2027" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 43¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)" ha generato $188.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 30, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)", esplora i 22 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)" è "Netanyahu - Primo Ministro di Israele" a 43%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 43% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Nessuno prima del 2027" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo leader fuori dal potere prima del 2027? (No Starmer o Petro)" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.