Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased for a June 2026 launch at I/O and later slipped to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the next Pro model release. The model remains limited to partner testing as of early September, with Google instead shipping iterative Flash variants—including 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming pre-training on Gemini 4. Persistent shortfalls against internal benchmarks and a pattern of missed timelines have pushed the market-implied probability of no public release by September 30 to 69 percent, reflecting trader consensus that additional tuning or a shift in focus will extend the wait. Key near-term catalysts include any DeepMind or earnings-call updates on flagship readiness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 69%
22 settembre 5.4%
30 settembre 5.2%
23 settembre 4.3%
$62,751 Vol.
$62,751 Vol.
6 set 2026
6 settembre
<1%
7 settembre
5%
8 settembre
<1%
9 settembre
<1%
10 settembre
<1%
11 settembre
1%
12 settembre
1%
13 settembre
<1%
14 settembre
<1%
15 settembre
2%
16 settembre
2%
17 settembre
2%
18 settembre
<1%
19 settembre
1%
20 settembre
1%
21 settembre
1%
22 settembre
5%
23 settembre
4%
24 settembre
2%
25 settembre
1%
26 settembre
1%
27 settembre
1%
28 settembre
<1%
29 settembre
1%
30 settembre
5%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre
69%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 69%
22 settembre 5.4%
30 settembre 5.2%
23 settembre 4.3%
$62,751 Vol.
$62,751 Vol.
6 set 2026
6 settembre
$379 Vol.
<1%
7 settembre
$406 Vol.
5%
8 settembre
$361 Vol.
<1%
9 settembre
$331 Vol.
<1%
10 settembre
$331 Vol.
<1%
11 settembre
$298 Vol.
1%
12 settembre
$302 Vol.
1%
13 settembre
$331 Vol.
<1%
14 settembre
$404 Vol.
<1%
15 settembre
$542 Vol.
2%
16 settembre
$538 Vol.
2%
17 settembre
$542 Vol.
2%
18 settembre
$305 Vol.
<1%
19 settembre
$302 Vol.
1%
20 settembre
$302 Vol.
1%
21 settembre
$302 Vol.
1%
22 settembre
$579 Vol.
5%
23 settembre
$449 Vol.
4%
24 settembre
$589 Vol.
2%
25 settembre
$298 Vol.
1%
26 settembre
$300 Vol.
1%
27 settembre
$302 Vol.
1%
28 settembre
$480 Vol.
<1%
29 settembre
$370 Vol.
1%
30 settembre
$682 Vol.
5%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre
$49,467 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased for a June 2026 launch at I/O and later slipped to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the next Pro model release. The model remains limited to partner testing as of early September, with Google instead shipping iterative Flash variants—including 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming pre-training on Gemini 4. Persistent shortfalls against internal benchmarks and a pattern of missed timelines have pushed the market-implied probability of no public release by September 30 to 69 percent, reflecting trader consensus that additional tuning or a shift in focus will extend the wait. Key near-term catalysts include any DeepMind or earnings-call updates on flagship readiness.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$62,751Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased for a June 2026 launch at I/O and later slipped to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the next Pro model release. The model remains limited to partner testing as of early September, with Google instead shipping iterative Flash variants—including 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming pre-training on Gemini 4. Persistent shortfalls against internal benchmarks and a pattern of missed timelines have pushed the market-implied probability of no public release by September 30 to 69 percent, reflecting trader consensus that additional tuning or a shift in focus will extend the wait. Key near-term catalysts include any DeepMind or earnings-call updates on flagship readiness.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,751Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, teased for a June 2026 launch at I/O and later slipped to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment for the next Pro model release. The model remains limited to partner testing as of early September, with Google instead shipping iterative Flash variants—including 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming pre-training on Gemini 4. Persistent shortfalls against internal benchmarks and a pattern of missed timelines have pushed the market-implied probability of no public release by September 30 to 69 percent, reflecting trader consensus that additional tuning or a shift in focus will extend the wait. Key near-term catalysts include any DeepMind or earnings-call updates on flagship readiness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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