Anthropic's release cadence for Claude Sonnet models drives current trader sentiment, with the latest Sonnet 5 launching on June 30, 2026 as the most agentic version yet. It delivers major gains in coding, tool use, reasoning, and everyday agentic workflows at Sonnet pricing and speed, immediately becoming the default on free and Pro plans while rolling out across the API, Claude Code, and major cloud platforms. This follows Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 and aligns with Anthropic's pattern of iterative upgrades every three to four months amid intense competition from models like GPT-4o and Gemini. No official timeline exists yet for the next Sonnet iteration, though historical patterns and deprecation schedules suggest potential movement by late 2026. Traders watch for developer conferences, benchmark results, or competitive pressure that could accelerate or delay the next release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo sonetto di Claude pubblicato da...?
Il prossimo sonetto di Claude pubblicato da...?
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
31 agosto
44%
31 ottobre
74%
31 dicembre
91%
$3,419 Vol.
31 agosto
$248 Vol.
44%
31 ottobre
$237 Vol.
74%
31 dicembre
$2,935 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release cadence for Claude Sonnet models drives current trader sentiment, with the latest Sonnet 5 launching on June 30, 2026 as the most agentic version yet. It delivers major gains in coding, tool use, reasoning, and everyday agentic workflows at Sonnet pricing and speed, immediately becoming the default on free and Pro plans while rolling out across the API, Claude Code, and major cloud platforms. This follows Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 and aligns with Anthropic's pattern of iterative upgrades every three to four months amid intense competition from models like GPT-4o and Gemini. No official timeline exists yet for the next Sonnet iteration, though historical patterns and deprecation schedules suggest potential movement by late 2026. Traders watch for developer conferences, benchmark results, or competitive pressure that could accelerate or delay the next release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$3,419Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release cadence for Claude Sonnet models drives current trader sentiment, with the latest Sonnet 5 launching on June 30, 2026 as the most agentic version yet. It delivers major gains in coding, tool use, reasoning, and everyday agentic workflows at Sonnet pricing and speed, immediately becoming the default on free and Pro plans while rolling out across the API, Claude Code, and major cloud platforms. This follows Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 and aligns with Anthropic's pattern of iterative upgrades every three to four months amid intense competition from models like GPT-4o and Gemini. No official timeline exists yet for the next Sonnet iteration, though historical patterns and deprecation schedules suggest potential movement by late 2026. Traders watch for developer conferences, benchmark results, or competitive pressure that could accelerate or delay the next release.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,419Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release cadence for Claude Sonnet models drives current trader sentiment, with the latest Sonnet 5 launching on June 30, 2026 as the most agentic version yet. It delivers major gains in coding, tool use, reasoning, and everyday agentic workflows at Sonnet pricing and speed, immediately becoming the default on free and Pro plans while rolling out across the API, Claude Code, and major cloud platforms. This follows Sonnet 4.6 in February 2026 and aligns with Anthropic's pattern of iterative upgrades every three to four months amid intense competition from models like GPT-4o and Gemini. No official timeline exists yet for the next Sonnet iteration, though historical patterns and deprecation schedules suggest potential movement by late 2026. Traders watch for developer conferences, benchmark results, or competitive pressure that could accelerate or delay the next release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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