Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIl prossimo Claude Opus uscirà il...?
Il prossimo Claude Opus uscirà il...?
24 luglio 100.0%
16 luglio 79%
15 luglio o prima 29%
17 luglio <1%
$530,645 Vol.
$530,645 Vol.
15 lug 2026
15 luglio o prima
No
16 luglio
No
17 luglio
No
18 luglio
No
19 luglio
No
20 luglio
No
21 luglio
No
22 luglio
No
23 luglio
No
24 luglio
Sì
25 luglio
No
26 luglio
No
27 luglio
No
28 luglio
No
29 luglio
No
30 luglio
No
31 luglio
No
Nessun rilascio entro il 31 luglio
No
24 luglio 100.0%
16 luglio 79%
15 luglio o prima 29%
17 luglio <1%
$530,645 Vol.
$530,645 Vol.
15 lug 2026
15 luglio o prima
$30 Vol.
No
16 luglio
$191 Vol.
No
17 luglio
$250 Vol.
No
18 luglio
$1,018 Vol.
No
19 luglio
$974 Vol.
No
20 luglio
$1,771 Vol.
No
21 luglio
$8,153 Vol.
No
22 luglio
$2,888 Vol.
No
23 luglio
$75,048 Vol.
No
24 luglio
$151,040 Vol.
Sì
25 luglio
$29,640 Vol.
No
26 luglio
$30,912 Vol.
No
27 luglio
$25,821 Vol.
No
28 luglio
$38,299 Vol.
No
29 luglio
$32,296 Vol.
No
30 luglio
$45,275 Vol.
No
31 luglio
$19,165 Vol.
No
Nessun rilascio entro il 31 luglio
$67,876 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ET
Volume
$530,645Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$530,645Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader sentiment on the next Claude Opus release reflects Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence of incremental Opus upgrades every 4–8 weeks, with the latest Claude Opus 4.8 launched May 28 emphasizing improved honesty, agentic workflows, and coding benchmarks amid competition from OpenAI and Google models. No major official announcement has surfaced in the past month, leaving the market’s closely clustered July probabilities driven by typical release windows, API deprecation timelines, and developer expectations for further reliability or capability gains. Uncertainty persists around whether the next step will be a 4.x revision or the anticipated Claude 5 Opus generational leap, with earnings, partner integrations, or competitive pressure from rival labs serving as potential near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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