**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) rilasciato da...?
Prossimo Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) rilasciato da...?
NUOVO
15 set 2026
September 15
28%
30 settembre
8%
$5,800 Vol.
September 15
$217 Vol.
28%
30 settembre
$1,897 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Volume
$5,800Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:43 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Plus model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Plus," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Plus tier, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.6-Plus or Qwen3.7-Plus would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Plus, while models whose name does not include "Plus" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Qwen3.7-Max, Qwen3.6-Flash, or Qwen3.7-Plus, will not qualify. Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as Qwen3-VL-Plus, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Alibaba as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Alibaba, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,800Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 9:43 AM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 series, led by the 2.4-trillion-parameter Qwen3.8-Max (95B active, 1M-token context, multimodal MoE), reached general availability via API on August 3, 2026, following its July 19 preview.** This marked the first open-weight release of a Qwen-Max-class model (Qwen3.8-2.4T-A95B on August 12, plus the efficient 27B variant shortly after), driven by competitive pressure from models like Moonshot’s Kimi K3 and a strategic shift toward broader developer access. The late-August launch of Qwen3.8-Flash (125B MoE with only 6B active parameters) explicitly previewed Qwen4 architecture while delivering sharply lower training and inference costs—roughly one-ninth of prior Plus models—along with strong gains on coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and agentic tasks. Traders are watching for the full Qwen4 rollout, additional 3.8 snapshots, or regulatory or ecosystem developments that could accelerate or delay the next flagship Plus iteration.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti