As the March 31 deadline passed without Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu facing arrest, traders reached 100% consensus on "No," reflecting the event's definitive non-occurrence amid ongoing legal proceedings. An ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes remains unenforceable, as Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and does not extradite nationals. Netanyahu's domestic corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust has featured his testimony without custody, with sessions delayed but no detention ordered. Recent March developments, including his public statements on Iran threats and security zones, underscore his continued leadership. Only an extraordinary post-deadline reversal, such as disputed resolution evidence, could theoretically challenge this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNetanyahu arrested by March 31?
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
$137,004 Vol.
$137,004 Vol.
31 mar 2026
$137,004 Vol.
$137,004 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the March 31 deadline passed without Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu facing arrest, traders reached 100% consensus on "No," reflecting the event's definitive non-occurrence amid ongoing legal proceedings. An ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes remains unenforceable, as Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and does not extradite nationals. Netanyahu's domestic corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust has featured his testimony without custody, with sessions delayed but no detention ordered. Recent March developments, including his public statements on Iran threats and security zones, underscore his continued leadership. Only an extraordinary post-deadline reversal, such as disputed resolution evidence, could theoretically challenge this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volume
$137,004Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As the March 31 deadline passed without Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu facing arrest, traders reached 100% consensus on "No," reflecting the event's definitive non-occurrence amid ongoing legal proceedings. An ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes remains unenforceable, as Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and does not extradite nationals. Netanyahu's domestic corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust has featured his testimony without custody, with sessions delayed but no detention ordered. Recent March developments, including his public statements on Iran threats and security zones, underscore his continued leadership. Only an extraordinary post-deadline reversal, such as disputed resolution evidence, could theoretically challenge this outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$137,004Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 7, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
As the March 31 deadline passed without Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu facing arrest, traders reached 100% consensus on "No," reflecting the event's definitive non-occurrence amid ongoing legal proceedings. An ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes remains unenforceable, as Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and does not extradite nationals. Netanyahu's domestic corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust has featured his testimony without custody, with sessions delayed but no detention ordered. Recent March developments, including his public statements on Iran threats and security zones, underscore his continued leadership. Only an extraordinary post-deadline reversal, such as disputed resolution evidence, could theoretically challenge this outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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