Trader sentiment on the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) December 2026 close reflects a tight contest, with a 51% implied probability for below $23,500 edging out higher ranges like $30,500–$33,000 at 44%, amid current levels near 26,670 following a 6.8% weekly gain to records driven by Iran unblocking the Strait of Hormuz and easing geopolitical tensions. Sticky inflation near 3% core PCE, potential Federal Reserve pauses on rate cuts despite dovish signals, and elevated tech valuations fuel correction fears, contrasting robust AI-fueled earnings growth from mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven. Key swing factors include Q1 2026 earnings releases through May, April CPI data, and FOMC meetings, where beats on revenue or softer inflation could propel odds toward $30,000+ bins, while misses or hot data reinforce downside positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$26,500-$28,500 43%
$30,500-$33,000 41%
$25,000-$26,500 41%
$33,000-$36,000 41%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<$23,500
48%
$23,500-$25,000
-
$25,000-$26,500
41%
$26,500-$28,500
43%
$28,500-$30,500
-
$30,500-$33,000
41%
$33,000-$36,000
41%
>$36,000
44%
$26,500-$28,500 43%
$30,500-$33,000 41%
$25,000-$26,500 41%
$33,000-$36,000 41%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
<$23,500
$0 Vol.
48%
$23,500-$25,000
$10 Vol.
-
$25,000-$26,500
$0 Vol.
41%
$26,500-$28,500
$0 Vol.
43%
$28,500-$30,500
$0 Vol.
-
$30,500-$33,000
$0 Vol.
41%
$33,000-$36,000
$0 Vol.
41%
>$36,000
$42 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) December 2026 close reflects a tight contest, with a 51% implied probability for below $23,500 edging out higher ranges like $30,500–$33,000 at 44%, amid current levels near 26,670 following a 6.8% weekly gain to records driven by Iran unblocking the Strait of Hormuz and easing geopolitical tensions. Sticky inflation near 3% core PCE, potential Federal Reserve pauses on rate cuts despite dovish signals, and elevated tech valuations fuel correction fears, contrasting robust AI-fueled earnings growth from mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven. Key swing factors include Q1 2026 earnings releases through May, April CPI data, and FOMC meetings, where beats on revenue or softer inflation could propel odds toward $30,000+ bins, while misses or hot data reinforce downside positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
Volume
$52Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment on the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) December 2026 close reflects a tight contest, with a 51% implied probability for below $23,500 edging out higher ranges like $30,500–$33,000 at 44%, amid current levels near 26,670 following a 6.8% weekly gain to records driven by Iran unblocking the Strait of Hormuz and easing geopolitical tensions. Sticky inflation near 3% core PCE, potential Federal Reserve pauses on rate cuts despite dovish signals, and elevated tech valuations fuel correction fears, contrasting robust AI-fueled earnings growth from mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven. Key swing factors include Q1 2026 earnings releases through May, April CPI data, and FOMC meetings, where beats on revenue or softer inflation could propel odds toward $30,000+ bins, while misses or hot data reinforce downside positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$52Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) December 2026 close reflects a tight contest, with a 51% implied probability for below $23,500 edging out higher ranges like $30,500–$33,000 at 44%, amid current levels near 26,670 following a 6.8% weekly gain to records driven by Iran unblocking the Strait of Hormuz and easing geopolitical tensions. Sticky inflation near 3% core PCE, potential Federal Reserve pauses on rate cuts despite dovish signals, and elevated tech valuations fuel correction fears, contrasting robust AI-fueled earnings growth from mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven. Key swing factors include Q1 2026 earnings releases through May, April CPI data, and FOMC meetings, where beats on revenue or softer inflation could propel odds toward $30,000+ bins, while misses or hot data reinforce downside positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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