**Brad Knott holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District, a seat redrawn to favor the GOP with a Cook PVI around R+8.** He secured the nomination decisively in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90% of the vote and leads in fundraising. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Knott’s established record since taking office in 2025. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his March primary with 59%, benefits from the DCCC’s recent addition of the district to its target list, which highlights issues such as affordability and congressional oversight. This has kept his implied probability in the mid-teens, though the overall environment and structural advantages continue to favor the incumbent ahead of the November 3 general election.