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icon for MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·House Primary

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Elezioni·House Primary

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Samuel Forstag 99.6%

Ryan Busse <1%

Russell Cleveland <1%

Matt Rains <1%

Polymarket

$21,564 Vol.

Samuel Forstag 99.6%

Ryan Busse <1%

Russell Cleveland <1%

Matt Rains <1%

Polymarket

$21,564 Vol.

Russell Cleveland

$3,293 Vol.

No

Matt Rains

$1,524 Vol.

No

Samuel Forstag

$7,769 Vol.

Yes

Ryan Busse

$8,977 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sam Forstag secured the Democratic nomination for Montana's 1st Congressional District in the June 2, 2026, primary, capturing roughly 37 percent of the vote and outpacing Ryan Busse by several points. As a former smokejumper and union organizer backed by organized labor and prominent progressive figures, Forstag consolidated support among working-class and union voters in the western district that includes Missoula and Bozeman. Matt Rains, a rancher emphasizing moderate and agricultural credentials, finished well behind with under 10 percent. With vote counts now largely complete and the leading contender having declared victory, market pricing reflects the confirmed primary outcome while leaving room for any final certification or recount processes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,564
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Sam Forstag secured the Democratic nomination for Montana's 1st Congressional District in the June 2, 2026, primary, capturing roughly 37 percent of the vote and outpacing Ryan Busse by several points. As a former smokejumper and union organizer backed by organized labor and prominent progressive figures, Forstag consolidated support among working-class and union voters in the western district that includes Missoula and Bozeman. Matt Rains, a rancher emphasizing moderate and agricultural credentials, finished well behind with under 10 percent. With vote counts now largely complete and the leading contender having declared victory, market pricing reflects the confirmed primary outcome while leaving room for any final certification or recount processes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,564
Data di fine
2 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Samuel Forstag" a 100%, seguito da "Russell Cleveland" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $21.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 22, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Samuel Forstag" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Russell Cleveland" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.