Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNome del ragazzo più popolare 2025
Liam 100.0%
Noah <1%
Oliver <1%
Theodore <1%
$922,040 Vol.
$922,040 Vol.
Liam
Sì
Noah
No
Oliver
No
Theodore
No
James
No
Henry
No
Mateo
No
Elia
No
Lucas
No
William
No
Liam 100.0%
Noah <1%
Oliver <1%
Theodore <1%
$922,040 Vol.
$922,040 Vol.
Liam
Sì
Noah
No
Oliver
No
Theodore
No
James
No
Henry
No
Mateo
No
Elia
No
Lucas
No
William
No
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Mercato aperto: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Liam's 100% implied probability on Polymarket reflects the Social Security Administration's (SSA) official release today, May 8, 2026, confirming it as America's most popular boy name for 2025 births—marking its ninth consecutive year at #1 ahead of Noah and Oliver. This dominant positioning stems from Liam's sustained cultural resonance, fueled by celebrity baby announcements, streaming show influences, and broad parental appeal transcending trends seen in preliminary trackers like BabyCenter, which briefly favored Noah in November 2025 data. Trader consensus, backed by over $800K in volume, aligns with SSA's authoritative birth certificate metrics. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented data revision or tiebreaker dispute, though historical precedent shows such challenges resolve firmly in favor of the leader.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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