Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$23,312 Vol.
$23,312 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
92%
Repubblicano
10%
$23,312 Vol.
$23,312 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$16,446 Vol.
92%
Repubblicano
$6,866 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$23,312Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,312Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has reinforced Democratic advantages heading into the November 2026 general election. The state's longstanding partisan lean, combined with a competitive Democratic primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig, supports trader consensus around a party hold. Republican candidates remain divided ahead of their August primary, and early polling plus nonpartisan race ratings label the contest likely Democratic. Potential shifts could arise from a stronger Republican nominee emerging, unexpected national political momentum, or late primary surprises that alter the general-election matchup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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