Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement creates an open Minnesota Senate seat, but recent polls show Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading hypothetical general election matchups against Republicans by 2–7 points, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 90%. Flanagan's edge in primary surveys (40–52% over Craig) and Smith's February endorsement bolster her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 primary, while fragmented GOP field—including Michele Tafoya and Royce White—lacks a clear heavyweight. Minnesota's history of Democratic Senate holds and modest polling leads reflect the state's partisan lean, though a unified Republican nominee or midterm national dynamics could shift odds before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$22,302 Vol.
$22,302 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
90%
Repubblicano
8%
$22,302 Vol.
$22,302 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$15,763 Vol.
90%
Repubblicano
$6,539 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement creates an open Minnesota Senate seat, but recent polls show Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading hypothetical general election matchups against Republicans by 2–7 points, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 90%. Flanagan's edge in primary surveys (40–52% over Craig) and Smith's February endorsement bolster her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 primary, while fragmented GOP field—including Michele Tafoya and Royce White—lacks a clear heavyweight. Minnesota's history of Democratic Senate holds and modest polling leads reflect the state's partisan lean, though a unified Republican nominee or midterm national dynamics could shift odds before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$22,302Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement creates an open Minnesota Senate seat, but recent polls show Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading hypothetical general election matchups against Republicans by 2–7 points, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 90%. Flanagan's edge in primary surveys (40–52% over Craig) and Smith's February endorsement bolster her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 primary, while fragmented GOP field—including Michele Tafoya and Royce White—lacks a clear heavyweight. Minnesota's history of Democratic Senate holds and modest polling leads reflect the state's partisan lean, though a unified Republican nominee or midterm national dynamics could shift odds before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$22,302Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement creates an open Minnesota Senate seat, but recent polls show Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Rep. Angie Craig leading hypothetical general election matchups against Republicans by 2–7 points, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 90%. Flanagan's edge in primary surveys (40–52% over Craig) and Smith's February endorsement bolster her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 primary, while fragmented GOP field—including Michele Tafoya and Royce White—lacks a clear heavyweight. Minnesota's history of Democratic Senate holds and modest polling leads reflect the state's partisan lean, though a unified Republican nominee or midterm national dynamics could shift odds before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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