Angie Craig holds a 100% implied probability in this Dakota County-specific market because primary results from August 11 confirm her narrow victory there with over 95% of precincts reporting. As the sitting representative for Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District, which encompasses much of Dakota County, Craig maintained strong local support among suburban and moderate Democratic voters despite losing the statewide nomination to Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan by roughly 20 points. Flanagan prevailed overall with about 59% statewide through stronger performance in urban and progressive strongholds. The county outcome reflects Craig's established incumbency advantages and targeted appeal in that jurisdiction, with no remaining procedural steps expected to alter the certified results.