Peggy Flanagan secured a commanding position in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary through progressive endorsements, including from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with voter backlash against federal immigration enforcement policies following recent Trump administration actions. As lieutenant governor, she mobilized urban and progressive turnout on corporate accountability and anti-establishment themes, outpacing Rep. Angie Craig’s moderate congressional record and fundraising. Traders priced Flanagan’s expected margin at 15–20 points based on consistent polling leads and primary dynamics in key counties like Hennepin and Ramsey. Craig faced structural barriers in a left-leaning electorate, with few remaining levers such as late endorsements or turnout shifts in suburban districts to alter the outcome before the August 11 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFlanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Flanagan 20%+ 2.0%
Craig 5–10% 1.7%
Flanagan <5% 1.6%
$47,737 Vol.
$47,737 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Flanagan 20%+
2%
Flanagan 15–20%
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
1%
Flanagan <5%
2%
Craig <5%
2%
Craig 5–10%
2%
Craig 10–15%
<1%
Craig 15–20%
<1%
Craig 20%+
1%
Flanagan 15–20% 97.9%
Flanagan 20%+ 2.0%
Craig 5–10% 1.7%
Flanagan <5% 1.6%
$47,737 Vol.
$47,737 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Flanagan 20%+
$1,541 Vol.
2%
Flanagan 15–20%
$17,353 Vol.
98%
Flanagan 10–15%
$9,838 Vol.
<1%
Flanagan 5–10%
$4,635 Vol.
1%
Flanagan <5%
$9,189 Vol.
2%
Craig <5%
$1,394 Vol.
2%
Craig 5–10%
$2,152 Vol.
2%
Craig 10–15%
$663 Vol.
<1%
Craig 15–20%
$489 Vol.
<1%
Craig 20%+
$483 Vol.
1%
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured a commanding position in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary through progressive endorsements, including from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with voter backlash against federal immigration enforcement policies following recent Trump administration actions. As lieutenant governor, she mobilized urban and progressive turnout on corporate accountability and anti-establishment themes, outpacing Rep. Angie Craig’s moderate congressional record and fundraising. Traders priced Flanagan’s expected margin at 15–20 points based on consistent polling leads and primary dynamics in key counties like Hennepin and Ramsey. Craig faced structural barriers in a left-leaning electorate, with few remaining levers such as late endorsements or turnout shifts in suburban districts to alter the outcome before the August 11 vote.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$47,737Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Peggy Flanagan secured a commanding position in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary through progressive endorsements, including from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with voter backlash against federal immigration enforcement policies following recent Trump administration actions. As lieutenant governor, she mobilized urban and progressive turnout on corporate accountability and anti-establishment themes, outpacing Rep. Angie Craig’s moderate congressional record and fundraising. Traders priced Flanagan’s expected margin at 15–20 points based on consistent polling leads and primary dynamics in key counties like Hennepin and Ramsey. Craig faced structural barriers in a left-leaning electorate, with few remaining levers such as late endorsements or turnout shifts in suburban districts to alter the outcome before the August 11 vote.
Primary elections in Minnesota are scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Senate Primary.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Minnesota, such as official statewide results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mn.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$47,737Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Peggy Flanagan secured a commanding position in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary through progressive endorsements, including from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, and alignment with voter backlash against federal immigration enforcement policies following recent Trump administration actions. As lieutenant governor, she mobilized urban and progressive turnout on corporate accountability and anti-establishment themes, outpacing Rep. Angie Craig’s moderate congressional record and fundraising. Traders priced Flanagan’s expected margin at 15–20 points based on consistent polling leads and primary dynamics in key counties like Hennepin and Ramsey. Craig faced structural barriers in a left-leaning electorate, with few remaining levers such as late endorsements or turnout shifts in suburban districts to alter the outcome before the August 11 vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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