Michigan's 12th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic advantage in the House race, reflecting its urban and suburban demographics in the Detroit metro area that have produced consistent majorities for the party in recent elections. The absence of competitive Republican challengers or major candidate announcements through mid-May has kept the market stable, with traders assigning high probability based on historical turnout patterns and limited opposition activity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset, a national political shift altering local dynamics, or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or legal challenges before the November ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-12
$28,833 Vol.
$28,833 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
93%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$28,833 Vol.
$28,833 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$17,658 Vol.
93%
Partito Repubblicano
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic advantage in the House race, reflecting its urban and suburban demographics in the Detroit metro area that have produced consistent majorities for the party in recent elections. The absence of competitive Republican challengers or major candidate announcements through mid-May has kept the market stable, with traders assigning high probability based on historical turnout patterns and limited opposition activity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset, a national political shift altering local dynamics, or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or legal challenges before the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$28,833Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic advantage in the House race, reflecting its urban and suburban demographics in the Detroit metro area that have produced consistent majorities for the party in recent elections. The absence of competitive Republican challengers or major candidate announcements through mid-May has kept the market stable, with traders assigning high probability based on historical turnout patterns and limited opposition activity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset, a national political shift altering local dynamics, or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or legal challenges before the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,833Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic advantage in the House race, reflecting its urban and suburban demographics in the Detroit metro area that have produced consistent majorities for the party in recent elections. The absence of competitive Republican challengers or major candidate announcements through mid-May has kept the market stable, with traders assigning high probability based on historical turnout patterns and limited opposition activity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary upset, a national political shift altering local dynamics, or unexpected developments such as candidate withdrawals or legal challenges before the November ballot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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