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icon for Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

icon for Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?

$19,768 Vol.

30 ott 2023
Polymarket

$19,768 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for <15

<15

$1,940 Vol.

Yes

icon for 15-50

15-50

$2,271 Vol.

No

icon for 51-100

51-100

$6,872 Vol.

No

icon for >100

>100

$8,685 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,768
Data di fine
31 ott 2023
Mercato aperto
Oct 2, 2023, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 15 and 50 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of between 51 and 100 voting representatives (inclusive). Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of greater than 100 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No".

The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30).

Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,768
Data di fine
31 ott 2023
Mercato aperto
Oct 2, 2023, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first vote after this market's inception to remove Rep. Kevin McCarthy from his position as Speaker of the House has a margin of fewer than 15 voting representatives. Otherwise the market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the first vote to vacate the Speaker position that occurs by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. If there is no vote to remove McCarthy by then, this market will resolve to "No". The margin will be determined by the absolute difference between the number of "Yea" votes and "Nay" votes, as documented in official records or announcements from the U.S. House of Representatives (e.g. if 130 vote Yea, 160 vote Nay, and rest abstain, the absolute difference is |130 - 160| = 30). Note: The margin relevant for this market is the absolute difference, and thus always positive (regardless of outcome). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "<15" a 100%, seguito da "15-50" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" ha generato $19.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 3, 2023. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" è "<15" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "15-50" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Margin in vote to oust McCarthy?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.