Malta’s snap general election on 30 May follows a shortened campaign period that has coincided with polling showing turnout estimates ranging from roughly 77% to 88%, well below the historical norm above 90%. The 2022 result of 85.6% already reflected a decline, and recent surveys highlight elevated undecided voters alongside rising abstention trends. These factors have positioned sub-85% turnout as the leading trader consensus outcome at 56.5%, with the 85-90% bracket a close second. Major parties continue mobilization efforts and overseas early-voting expansions, yet final-week participation remains the primary variable that could shift probabilities before polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<85% 57%
85-90% 42%
90-95% 6.7%
95%+ 2.0%
$27,047 Vol.
$27,047 Vol.
30 mag 2026
<85%
57%
85-90%
35%
90-95%
7%
95%+
2%
<85% 57%
85-90% 42%
90-95% 6.7%
95%+ 2.0%
$27,047 Vol.
$27,047 Vol.
30 mag 2026
<85%
$9,202 Vol.
57%
85-90%
$5,441 Vol.
35%
90-95%
$6,250 Vol.
7%
95%+
$6,154 Vol.
2%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)Malta’s snap general election on 30 May follows a shortened campaign period that has coincided with polling showing turnout estimates ranging from roughly 77% to 88%, well below the historical norm above 90%. The 2022 result of 85.6% already reflected a decline, and recent surveys highlight elevated undecided voters alongside rising abstention trends. These factors have positioned sub-85% turnout as the leading trader consensus outcome at 56.5%, with the 85-90% bracket a close second. Major parties continue mobilization efforts and overseas early-voting expansions, yet final-week participation remains the primary variable that could shift probabilities before polls close.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Mercato aperto: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$27,047Data di fine
30 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)Malta’s snap general election on 30 May follows a shortened campaign period that has coincided with polling showing turnout estimates ranging from roughly 77% to 88%, well below the historical norm above 90%. The 2022 result of 85.6% already reflected a decline, and recent surveys highlight elevated undecided voters alongside rising abstention trends. These factors have positioned sub-85% turnout as the leading trader consensus outcome at 56.5%, with the 85-90% bracket a close second. Major parties continue mobilization efforts and overseas early-voting expansions, yet final-week participation remains the primary variable that could shift probabilities before polls close.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Volume
$27,047Data di fine
30 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Malta’s snap general election on 30 May follows a shortened campaign period that has coincided with polling showing turnout estimates ranging from roughly 77% to 88%, well below the historical norm above 90%. The 2022 result of 85.6% already reflected a decline, and recent surveys highlight elevated undecided voters alongside rising abstention trends. These factors have positioned sub-85% turnout as the leading trader consensus outcome at 56.5%, with the 85-90% bracket a close second. Major parties continue mobilization efforts and overseas early-voting expansions, yet final-week participation remains the primary variable that could shift probabilities before polls close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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