Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts 21 luglio - 28 luglio 2026?
Khamenei # posts 21 luglio - 28 luglio 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,603 Vol.
$18,603 Vol.
28 lug 2026
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$18,603 Vol.
$18,603 Vol.
28 lug 2026
<5
$8,141 Vol.
Yes
5-9
$2,690 Vol.
No
10-14
$1,461 Vol.
No
15-19
$1,276 Vol.
No
20-24
$1,477 Vol.
No
25-29
$1,072 Vol.
No
30-34
$507 Vol.
No
35-39
$168 Vol.
No
40-44
$331 Vol.
No
45-49
$352 Vol.
No
50-54
$362 Vol.
No
55-59
$373 Vol.
No
60+
$392 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$18,603Data di fine
28 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 21, 12:00 PM ET and July 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$18,603Data di fine
28 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Traders see Khamenei's official X accounts posting at irregular, event-driven intervals rather than on any fixed schedule, with recent activity limited to funeral commemorations and archival statements in early July 2026. The similar probabilities across ranges under 60 posts reflect this unpredictability in the post-assassination period, where volume hinges on whether managers release additional material tied to ongoing regional developments or successor-related messaging. Separation could occur from scheduled anniversaries, diplomatic announcements, or shifts in Iranian state media priorities within the July 21–28 window, as the accounts have historically clustered output around major institutional or conflict-related moments rather than maintaining steady cadence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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