Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was not arrested by the March 31, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the event window closed without incident. A Department of Justice criminal probe launched in January 2026, probing Powell's prior congressional testimony on a $2.5 billion Fed building renovation, generated early speculation but stalled after a federal judge quashed grand jury subpoenas on March 13, blocking further investigative steps. No charges were filed, reflecting institutional safeguards around the independent Fed chair role and lack of probable cause for detention. While post-deadline revelations of an unreported arrest before 11:59 PM ET could theoretically prompt resolution review, such scenarios remain implausible absent verified evidence from DOJ or law enforcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$78,939 Vol.
$78,939 Vol.
31 mar 2026
$78,939 Vol.
$78,939 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was not arrested by the March 31, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the event window closed without incident. A Department of Justice criminal probe launched in January 2026, probing Powell's prior congressional testimony on a $2.5 billion Fed building renovation, generated early speculation but stalled after a federal judge quashed grand jury subpoenas on March 13, blocking further investigative steps. No charges were filed, reflecting institutional safeguards around the independent Fed chair role and lack of probable cause for detention. While post-deadline revelations of an unreported arrest before 11:59 PM ET could theoretically prompt resolution review, such scenarios remain implausible absent verified evidence from DOJ or law enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Volume
$78,939Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was not arrested by the March 31, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the event window closed without incident. A Department of Justice criminal probe launched in January 2026, probing Powell's prior congressional testimony on a $2.5 billion Fed building renovation, generated early speculation but stalled after a federal judge quashed grand jury subpoenas on March 13, blocking further investigative steps. No charges were filed, reflecting institutional safeguards around the independent Fed chair role and lack of probable cause for detention. While post-deadline revelations of an unreported arrest before 11:59 PM ET could theoretically prompt resolution review, such scenarios remain implausible absent verified evidence from DOJ or law enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$78,939Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was not arrested by the March 31, 2026, deadline, driving trader consensus to 100% on "No" as the event window closed without incident. A Department of Justice criminal probe launched in January 2026, probing Powell's prior congressional testimony on a $2.5 billion Fed building renovation, generated early speculation but stalled after a federal judge quashed grand jury subpoenas on March 13, blocking further investigative steps. No charges were filed, reflecting institutional safeguards around the independent Fed chair role and lack of probable cause for detention. While post-deadline revelations of an unreported arrest before 11:59 PM ET could theoretically prompt resolution review, such scenarios remain implausible absent verified evidence from DOJ or law enforcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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