Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, which began in April 2026 in Washington and continued through rounds in Rome and elsewhere, focus on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawals, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and Hezbollah disarmament under frameworks reached in June. Hezbollah has rejected participation, refused to abide by conditional ceasefires or security zones, and signaled it will not recognize agreements excluding it. Flare-ups including Israeli strikes and limited incidents have persisted into August despite trilateral commitments. These dynamics, alongside Hezbollah's stance and the Lebanese government's separate negotiating track, shape trader assessments of whether direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic contact will occur within any specified window, with scheduled follow-on meetings offering potential catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRiunione diplomatica Israele x Hezbollah entro...?
Riunione diplomatica Israele x Hezbollah entro...?
$93,800 Vol.
30 lug 2026
31 agosto
1%
$93,800 Vol.
31 agosto
$86,434 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, which began in April 2026 in Washington and continued through rounds in Rome and elsewhere, focus on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawals, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and Hezbollah disarmament under frameworks reached in June. Hezbollah has rejected participation, refused to abide by conditional ceasefires or security zones, and signaled it will not recognize agreements excluding it. Flare-ups including Israeli strikes and limited incidents have persisted into August despite trilateral commitments. These dynamics, alongside Hezbollah's stance and the Lebanese government's separate negotiating track, shape trader assessments of whether direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic contact will occur within any specified window, with scheduled follow-on meetings offering potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volume
$93,800Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, which began in April 2026 in Washington and continued through rounds in Rome and elsewhere, focus on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawals, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and Hezbollah disarmament under frameworks reached in June. Hezbollah has rejected participation, refused to abide by conditional ceasefires or security zones, and signaled it will not recognize agreements excluding it. Flare-ups including Israeli strikes and limited incidents have persisted into August despite trilateral commitments. These dynamics, alongside Hezbollah's stance and the Lebanese government's separate negotiating track, shape trader assessments of whether direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic contact will occur within any specified window, with scheduled follow-on meetings offering potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$93,800Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 7, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Israel and the Lebanese government, which began in April 2026 in Washington and continued through rounds in Rome and elsewhere, focus on ceasefires, Israeli withdrawals, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in the south, and Hezbollah disarmament under frameworks reached in June. Hezbollah has rejected participation, refused to abide by conditional ceasefires or security zones, and signaled it will not recognize agreements excluding it. Flare-ups including Israeli strikes and limited incidents have persisted into August despite trilateral commitments. These dynamics, alongside Hezbollah's stance and the Lebanese government's separate negotiating track, shape trader assessments of whether direct Israel-Hezbollah diplomatic contact will occur within any specified window, with scheduled follow-on meetings offering potential catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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