Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at roughly eight seats ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from seven to nine. The Supreme Court’s early-October reversal of disqualification attempts cleared the path for the alliance, while leader Yousef Jabareen’s offer of external “safety-net” support to an anti-Netanyahu bloc—conditioned on Arab-community crime funding, an end to certain demolitions, and a Palestinian statehood process—has shaped campaign focus. Neither major bloc currently projects a 61-seat majority, so Arab-list totals directly influence coalition viability. Variation in Arab turnout, competition with Ra’am for the same voters, and final-week mobilization around the safety-net stance keep outcomes clustered between six and nine seats, with modest shifts in participation or bloc negotiations able to move the result.