Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Illinois's structural Democratic lean, combined with Pritzker's unopposed primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but faces the same headwinds from the state's urban and suburban voter base that limited his prior performance. An independent candidate's ballot access remains under legal challenge, though it has not materially shifted expectations. Late developments such as major scandals, health incidents affecting a candidate, or unexpected shifts in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democrat
$4,570 Vol.
96%
Republican
$3,088 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Illinois's structural Democratic lean, combined with Pritzker's unopposed primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but faces the same headwinds from the state's urban and suburban voter base that limited his prior performance. An independent candidate's ballot access remains under legal challenge, though it has not materially shifted expectations. Late developments such as major scandals, health incidents affecting a candidate, or unexpected shifts in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$7,658Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Illinois's structural Democratic lean, combined with Pritzker's unopposed primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but faces the same headwinds from the state's urban and suburban voter base that limited his prior performance. An independent candidate's ballot access remains under legal challenge, though it has not materially shifted expectations. Late developments such as major scandals, health incidents affecting a candidate, or unexpected shifts in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$7,658Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of the 2022 contest. Illinois's structural Democratic lean, combined with Pritzker's unopposed primary win and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current market pricing. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in the March primary but faces the same headwinds from the state's urban and suburban voter base that limited his prior performance. An independent candidate's ballot access remains under legal challenge, though it has not materially shifted expectations. Late developments such as major scandals, health incidents affecting a candidate, or unexpected shifts in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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