Iran continues to restrict IAEA access to its key enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, with no verified inspections at these sites since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes. IAEA reports through September 2026 emphasize the inability to confirm the status or location of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, citing proliferation risks and repeated calls for urgent entry. An interim US-Iran memorandum in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would proceed, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on finalized agreements, sanctions relief, and new protocols for damaged sites. Satellite imagery has shown activity at storage areas like Isfahan tunnels, while parliamentary restrictions and demands for sovereignty limit cooperation. Ongoing diplomatic talks and potential IAEA board discussions remain the main near-term variables that could alter access timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'AIEA visita il sito nucleare di Isfahan, Fordow o Natanz da...?
L'AIEA visita il sito nucleare di Isfahan, Fordow o Natanz da...?
$374,032 Vol.
31 ott 2026
31 ottobre
4%
31 dicembre
13%
$374,032 Vol.
31 ottobre
$83,875 Vol.
4%
31 dicembre
$36,759 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran continues to restrict IAEA access to its key enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, with no verified inspections at these sites since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes. IAEA reports through September 2026 emphasize the inability to confirm the status or location of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, citing proliferation risks and repeated calls for urgent entry. An interim US-Iran memorandum in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would proceed, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on finalized agreements, sanctions relief, and new protocols for damaged sites. Satellite imagery has shown activity at storage areas like Isfahan tunnels, while parliamentary restrictions and demands for sovereignty limit cooperation. Ongoing diplomatic talks and potential IAEA board discussions remain the main near-term variables that could alter access timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$374,032Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Iran continues to restrict IAEA access to its key enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, with no verified inspections at these sites since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes. IAEA reports through September 2026 emphasize the inability to confirm the status or location of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, citing proliferation risks and repeated calls for urgent entry. An interim US-Iran memorandum in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would proceed, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on finalized agreements, sanctions relief, and new protocols for damaged sites. Satellite imagery has shown activity at storage areas like Isfahan tunnels, while parliamentary restrictions and demands for sovereignty limit cooperation. Ongoing diplomatic talks and potential IAEA board discussions remain the main near-term variables that could alter access timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$374,032Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Iran continues to restrict IAEA access to its key enrichment facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, with no verified inspections at these sites since the June 2025 conflict and subsequent February 2026 strikes. IAEA reports through September 2026 emphasize the inability to confirm the status or location of Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, citing proliferation risks and repeated calls for urgent entry. An interim US-Iran memorandum in June 2026 referenced IAEA oversight of nuclear activities, prompting Director General Rafael Grossi to state that inspections would proceed, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on finalized agreements, sanctions relief, and new protocols for damaged sites. Satellite imagery has shown activity at storage areas like Isfahan tunnels, while parliamentary restrictions and demands for sovereignty limit cooperation. Ongoing diplomatic talks and potential IAEA board discussions remain the main near-term variables that could alter access timelines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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