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Economy·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Economy·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Ended: giu 17

lug 29

Ended: giu 17

lug 29

0 99.6%

1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$61,442 Vol.

0 99.6%

1 <1%

2 <1%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$61,442 Vol.

0

$24,133 Vol.

Yes

1

$4,193 Vol.

No

2

$1,998 Vol.

No

3

$3,166 Vol.

No

4+

$27,953 Vol.

No

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$61,442
Data di fine
17 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$61,442
Data di fine
17 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Correlati

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58%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "0" a 100%, seguito da "1" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" ha generato $61.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 29, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

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L'attuale favorito per "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" è "0" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

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