Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, averaging 37-40 percent in recent aggregates with individual polls showing figures as low as 33 percent approve and net ratings reaching record second-term lows around -27. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have coincided with the latest drops, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, rising gas prices tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and broader economic conditions. Approaching November 2026 midterms add further scrutiny, as historical patterns show approval often faces pressure from foreign policy developments and cost-of-living issues during election cycles. These factors shape trader assessments of potential further declines before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$107,212 Vol.
31 dic 2026
35%
31%
30%
5%
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5%
20%
2%
$107,212 Vol.
35%
$73,026 Vol.
31%
30%
$8,637 Vol.
5%
25%
$2,851 Vol.
5%
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$3,197 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, averaging 37-40 percent in recent aggregates with individual polls showing figures as low as 33 percent approve and net ratings reaching record second-term lows around -27. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have coincided with the latest drops, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, rising gas prices tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and broader economic conditions. Approaching November 2026 midterms add further scrutiny, as historical patterns show approval often faces pressure from foreign policy developments and cost-of-living issues during election cycles. These factors shape trader assessments of potential further declines before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$107,212Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, averaging 37-40 percent in recent aggregates with individual polls showing figures as low as 33 percent approve and net ratings reaching record second-term lows around -27. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have coincided with the latest drops, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, rising gas prices tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and broader economic conditions. Approaching November 2026 midterms add further scrutiny, as historical patterns show approval often faces pressure from foreign policy developments and cost-of-living issues during election cycles. These factors shape trader assessments of potential further declines before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$107,212Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's approval rating has declined steadily through 2025 and into August 2026, averaging 37-40 percent in recent aggregates with individual polls showing figures as low as 33 percent approve and net ratings reaching record second-term lows around -27. The resumption of U.S. strikes on Iran in mid-July and the ensuing cycle of military exchanges have coincided with the latest drops, alongside persistent voter concerns over affordability, rising gas prices tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and broader economic conditions. Approaching November 2026 midterms add further scrutiny, as historical patterns show approval often faces pressure from foreign policy developments and cost-of-living issues during election cycles. These factors shape trader assessments of potential further declines before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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