Current H200 rental rates cluster around $3–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialized platforms, with on-demand medians near $4 and spot instances notably cheaper. Trader sentiment reflects two countervailing forces: continued HBM3e and CoWoS capacity additions plus new entrants are easing shortages and pressuring prices downward, while sustained demand for memory-intensive inference and training supports a floor above earlier lows. Blackwell ramp and potential demand shifts add uncertainty, keeping probabilities distributed across the $3.50–$5.50 range rather than converging on one band. Market-implied odds capture this balance of improving supply, competitive neo-cloud pricing, and persistent AI workload needs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrezzi di noleggio della GPU (H200) alla fine del 2026?
$4,00-$4,50 19%
$4,50-$5,00 16%
$5,00-$5,50 13.8%
$3,50-$4,00 11.8%
$13,471 Vol.
$13,471 Vol.
<$2,50
8%
$2,50-$3,00
4%
$3,00-$3,50
8%
$3,50-$4,00
12%
$4,00-$4,50
19%
$4,50-$5,00
16%
$5,00-$5,50
14%
5,50$-6,00$
11%
$6,00-$6,50
9%
$6,50-$7,00
4%
$7,00-$7,50
3%
$7,50+
4%
$4,00-$4,50 19%
$4,50-$5,00 16%
$5,00-$5,50 13.8%
$3,50-$4,00 11.8%
$13,471 Vol.
$13,471 Vol.
<$2,50
8%
$2,50-$3,00
4%
$3,00-$3,50
8%
$3,50-$4,00
12%
$4,00-$4,50
19%
$4,50-$5,00
16%
$5,00-$5,50
14%
5,50$-6,00$
11%
$6,00-$6,50
9%
$6,50-$7,00
4%
$7,00-$7,50
3%
$7,50+
4%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current H200 rental rates cluster around $3–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialized platforms, with on-demand medians near $4 and spot instances notably cheaper. Trader sentiment reflects two countervailing forces: continued HBM3e and CoWoS capacity additions plus new entrants are easing shortages and pressuring prices downward, while sustained demand for memory-intensive inference and training supports a floor above earlier lows. Blackwell ramp and potential demand shifts add uncertainty, keeping probabilities distributed across the $3.50–$5.50 range rather than converging on one band. Market-implied odds capture this balance of improving supply, competitive neo-cloud pricing, and persistent AI workload needs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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