Gianni Infantino retains a firm grip on the FIFA presidency through at least the end of 2026, with traders assigning just a 6.5% chance of his exit by December 31. His confirmed candidacy for the March 2027 vote, backed by strong relationships across CAF, CONMEBOL, AFC affiliates, and smaller member associations, outweighs recent European opposition following the abandoned FIFA Forward Enterprise sell-off plan. Potential challengers such as Concacaf’s Victor Montagliani have stepped aside to pursue their own reelection, leaving no viable rival by the November 18 deadline. While UEFA and several European federations have withdrawn endorsements and pushed reforms, the 211-member voting structure favors Infantino’s established alliances over any short-term ouster before the election cycle.