Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured the nomination for Georgia's 9th congressional district after winning his May 19 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Republican district, which has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen. Traders assign high value to the district's voting history, the incumbent's established position, and limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this northeast Georgia seat. A late scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this reliably Republican area.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-09 House Election Winner
GA-09 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$6,371 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$363 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured the nomination for Georgia's 9th congressional district after winning his May 19 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Republican district, which has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen. Traders assign high value to the district's voting history, the incumbent's established position, and limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this northeast Georgia seat. A late scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this reliably Republican area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$6,734Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured the nomination for Georgia's 9th congressional district after winning his May 19 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Republican district, which has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen. Traders assign high value to the district's voting history, the incumbent's established position, and limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this northeast Georgia seat. A late scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this reliably Republican area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,734Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde secured the nomination for Georgia's 9th congressional district after winning his May 19 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote against two challengers. The solidly Republican district, which has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 91.5 percent implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Caitlyn Gegen. Traders assign high value to the district's voting history, the incumbent's established position, and limited crossover appeal for Democrats in this northeast Georgia seat. A late scandal, health issue affecting the nominee, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in this reliably Republican area.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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