Olivier Faure leads the market for second place in the first round of the French social-democratic primary at 71%, reflecting his role as the primary challenger to frontrunner Raphaël Glucksmann within the combined PS and Place Publique electorate of roughly 140,000 voters. Recent televised debates highlighted divisions over potential alliances with La France Insoumise, wage policy, and foreign affairs, positioning Faure as the candidate most aligned with traditional PS structures and left-wing unity. Ségolène Royal sits at 22% amid her high-profile return and campaign interventions, while Emmanuel Maurel, Jérôme Guedj, and lower-polling entrants trail further behind. A cyberattack extended online voting through October 11, adding uncertainty to turnout among newer platform registrants versus established party members. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus ahead of results expected shortly after polls close.