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Geopolitica·Iran

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

icon for Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Geopolitica·Iran

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$28,623,187 Vol.

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$28,623,187 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.

Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.

Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.

The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,623,187
Data di fine
30 giu 2025
Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Contestato

Esito proposto: Yes

Contestato

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike.

Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify.

Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice.

The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,623,187
Data di fine
30 giu 2025
Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant (FFEP) in Iran is destroyed by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “destroyed” means that the underground enrichment facilities housing centrifuges are rendered non-functional, either through physical destruction, collapse, or targeted strike. Destruction of the centrifuges at Fordow through cyberattacks with out the destruction of the facilities will not qualify. Reports that Fordow was attacked or struck, or confirmation of damage to above-ground structures or auxiliary buildings will not alone suffice. The primary resolution source will be official confirmation from Iran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirming the site has been destroyed; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Esito proposto: Yes

Contestato

Esito proposto: Yes

Contestato

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 100% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 100¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" ha generato $28.6 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 15, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" è 100% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.