Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in recent polls for the August 18 Republican primary and is widely expected to secure the nomination, leaving the contest for second place as the main focus of trader attention. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins consistently places second in surveys from Quantus Insights, the James Madison Institute, and others, drawing support from his statewide profile, DeSantis administration ties, and endorsements from local officials. James Fishback follows at lower single digits in most polling averages, while Paul Renner and remaining candidates trail further behind. With the primary just days away and early voting underway, current trader consensus reflects these stable polling trends and the absence of major late shifts that would alter second-place positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJay Collins 79%
James Fishback 21%
Paul Renner <1%
Byron Donalds <1%
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
Jay Collins
79%
James Fishback
21%
Paul Renner
1%
Byron Donalds
<1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
Jay Collins 79%
James Fishback 21%
Paul Renner <1%
Byron Donalds <1%
$41,135 Vol.
$41,135 Vol.
Jay Collins
79%
James Fishback
21%
Paul Renner
1%
Byron Donalds
<1%
Jim Holcomb
<1%
Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
<1%
Daniel Nokovich
<1%
Rachel Rodriguez
<1%
James Walker Shaw
<1%
Caneste Succe
<1%
Bobby Williams
<1%
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in recent polls for the August 18 Republican primary and is widely expected to secure the nomination, leaving the contest for second place as the main focus of trader attention. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins consistently places second in surveys from Quantus Insights, the James Madison Institute, and others, drawing support from his statewide profile, DeSantis administration ties, and endorsements from local officials. James Fishback follows at lower single digits in most polling averages, while Paul Renner and remaining candidates trail further behind. With the primary just days away and early voting underway, current trader consensus reflects these stable polling trends and the absence of major late shifts that would alter second-place positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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