Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElijah 10–15% 100.0%
Mills 25%+ <1%
Mills 20–25% <1%
Mills 15–20% <1%
$3,036 Vol.
$3,036 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Mills 25%+
No
Mills 20–25%
No
Mills 15–20%
No
Mills 10–15%
No
Mills 5–10%
No
Mills <5%
No
Elijah <5%
No
Elijah 5–10%
No
Elijah 10–15%
Sì
Elijah 15–20%
No
Elijah 20–25%
No
Elijah 25%+
No
Elijah 10–15% 100.0%
Mills 25%+ <1%
Mills 20–25% <1%
Mills 15–20% <1%
$3,036 Vol.
$3,036 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Mills 25%+
$362 Vol.
No
Mills 20–25%
$273 Vol.
No
Mills 15–20%
$458 Vol.
No
Mills 10–15%
$305 Vol.
No
Mills 5–10%
$255 Vol.
No
Mills <5%
$305 Vol.
No
Elijah <5%
$105 Vol.
No
Elijah 5–10%
$255 Vol.
No
Elijah 10–15%
$85 Vol.
Sì
Elijah 15–20%
$265 Vol.
No
Elijah 20–25%
$255 Vol.
No
Elijah 25%+
$112 Vol.
No
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$3,036Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Republican Primary for Florida's 7th Congressional District (FL-07).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$3,036Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:48 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Ryan Elijah defeated incumbent Cory Mills in the August 18 Florida 7th District Republican primary by roughly 13 points, finishing near 47% to Mills’ 34% with the remaining votes split among two minor candidates. Trader consensus on the 10–15% margin reflects these certified results and the campaign dynamics that produced them, including Elijah’s late endorsements from local sheriffs and Republican lawmakers, stronger grassroots organization, and higher recent fundraising. Mills faced headwinds from reports of investigations into personal and financial matters. The outcome remains subject to final certification and any administrative adjustments to vote totals, though shifts large enough to move the margin outside the leading bucket appear unlikely based on reported precinct data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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