A strengthening El Niño, with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2.0°C in the eastern equatorial Pacific and greater than 90% odds of a very strong event through winter 2026-27 per NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, stands as the dominant driver shaping early-season snow prospects. This pattern favors cooler, wetter conditions across the northern Intermountain West and Pacific Northwest, raising chances for measurable snowfall (0.1 inch liquid equivalent) at high elevations in Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and the Colorado Rockies as early as late September, consistent with climatological medians there. Warmer, drier anomalies are more likely across the High Plains and much of the contiguous U.S. through November, potentially delaying first snow in lower-elevation or southern sites. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion on September 10 and updated NOAA seasonal outlooks will refine guidance on temperature and precipitation anomalies critical to surface thresholds for snow versus rain.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrima neve della stagione 2026

Buffalo, NY entro il 31 ottobre
56%

Denver, CO entro il 31 ottobre
63%

Minneapolis, MN entro il 31 ottobre
56%

Salt Lake City, UT entro il 31 ottobre
53%

Boston, MA entro il 15 novembre
60%

Buffalo, NY entro il 15 novembre
92%

Chicago, IL entro il 15 novembre
57%

Denver, CO entro il 15 novembre
94%

Detroit, MI entro il 15 novembre
90%

Indianapolis, IN entro il 15 novembre
83%

Kansas City, MO entro il 15 novembre
33%

Minneapolis, MN entro il 15 novembre
88%

Pittsburgh, PA entro il 15 novembre
57%

Salt Lake City, UT entro il 15 novembre
87%

Boston, MA entro il 30 novembre
93%

Buffalo, NY entro il 30 novembre
93%

Chicago, IL entro il 30 novembre
78%

Cincinnati, OH entro il 30 novembre
83%

Dallas, TX entro il 30 novembre
11%

Denver, CO entro il 30 novembre
99%

Detroit, MI entro il 30 novembre
89%

Indianapolis, IN entro il 30 novembre
94%

Kansas City, MO entro il 30 novembre
84%

Minneapolis, MN entro il 30 novembre
93%

Nashville, TN entro il 30 novembre
29%

New York City, NY entro il 30 novembre
68%

Philadelphia, PA entro il 30 novembre
18%

Pittsburgh, PA entro il 30 novembre
77%

Salt Lake City, UT entro il 30 novembre
89%

St. Louis, MO entro il 30 novembre
75%

Washington, DC entro il 30 novembre
44%
$7,447 Vol.

Buffalo, NY entro il 31 ottobre
56%

Denver, CO entro il 31 ottobre
63%

Minneapolis, MN entro il 31 ottobre
56%

Salt Lake City, UT entro il 31 ottobre
53%

Boston, MA entro il 15 novembre
60%

Buffalo, NY entro il 15 novembre
92%

Chicago, IL entro il 15 novembre
57%

Denver, CO entro il 15 novembre
94%

Detroit, MI entro il 15 novembre
90%

Indianapolis, IN entro il 15 novembre
83%

Kansas City, MO entro il 15 novembre
33%

Minneapolis, MN entro il 15 novembre
88%

Pittsburgh, PA entro il 15 novembre
57%

Salt Lake City, UT entro il 15 novembre
87%

Boston, MA entro il 30 novembre
93%

Buffalo, NY entro il 30 novembre
93%

Chicago, IL entro il 30 novembre
78%

Cincinnati, OH entro il 30 novembre
83%

Dallas, TX entro il 30 novembre
11%

Denver, CO entro il 30 novembre
99%

Detroit, MI entro il 30 novembre
89%

Indianapolis, IN entro il 30 novembre
94%

Kansas City, MO entro il 30 novembre
84%

Minneapolis, MN entro il 30 novembre
93%

Nashville, TN entro il 30 novembre
29%

New York City, NY entro il 30 novembre
68%

Philadelphia, PA entro il 30 novembre
18%

Pittsburgh, PA entro il 30 novembre
77%

Salt Lake City, UT entro il 30 novembre
89%

St. Louis, MO entro il 30 novembre
75%

Washington, DC entro il 30 novembre
44%
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
Risolutore
0x65070BE91...A strengthening El Niño, with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2.0°C in the eastern equatorial Pacific and greater than 90% odds of a very strong event through winter 2026-27 per NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, stands as the dominant driver shaping early-season snow prospects. This pattern favors cooler, wetter conditions across the northern Intermountain West and Pacific Northwest, raising chances for measurable snowfall (0.1 inch liquid equivalent) at high elevations in Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and the Colorado Rockies as early as late September, consistent with climatological medians there. Warmer, drier anomalies are more likely across the High Plains and much of the contiguous U.S. through November, potentially delaying first snow in lower-elevation or southern sites. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion on September 10 and updated NOAA seasonal outlooks will refine guidance on temperature and precipitation anomalies critical to surface thresholds for snow versus rain.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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