In Louisiana’s 6th congressional district, the November 3 jungle primary requires over 50 percent of the vote for an outright win, with a December 12 runoff otherwise. A crowded field of Democratic and Republican candidates, including Chauna Banks, Rick Edmonds, Blake Miguez, Patrick Forbes, and Lindsay Garcia, has produced fragmented support in the most recent polling, with no contender exceeding 19 percent and undecided voters near 40 percent. The August 7 filing deadline and subsequent endorsements have not consolidated the race into a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent against an outright winner reflects this dispersion and historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Louisiana contests. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute withdrawals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
2% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
2% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.In Louisiana’s 6th congressional district, the November 3 jungle primary requires over 50 percent of the vote for an outright win, with a December 12 runoff otherwise. A crowded field of Democratic and Republican candidates, including Chauna Banks, Rick Edmonds, Blake Miguez, Patrick Forbes, and Lindsay Garcia, has produced fragmented support in the most recent polling, with no contender exceeding 19 percent and undecided voters near 40 percent. The August 7 filing deadline and subsequent endorsements have not consolidated the race into a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent against an outright winner reflects this dispersion and historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Louisiana contests. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute withdrawals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,447Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.In Louisiana’s 6th congressional district, the November 3 jungle primary requires over 50 percent of the vote for an outright win, with a December 12 runoff otherwise. A crowded field of Democratic and Republican candidates, including Chauna Banks, Rick Edmonds, Blake Miguez, Patrick Forbes, and Lindsay Garcia, has produced fragmented support in the most recent polling, with no contender exceeding 19 percent and undecided voters near 40 percent. The August 7 filing deadline and subsequent endorsements have not consolidated the race into a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent against an outright winner reflects this dispersion and historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Louisiana contests. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute withdrawals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
Volume
$1,447Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...In Louisiana’s 6th congressional district, the November 3 jungle primary requires over 50 percent of the vote for an outright win, with a December 12 runoff otherwise. A crowded field of Democratic and Republican candidates, including Chauna Banks, Rick Edmonds, Blake Miguez, Patrick Forbes, and Lindsay Garcia, has produced fragmented support in the most recent polling, with no contender exceeding 19 percent and undecided voters near 40 percent. The August 7 filing deadline and subsequent endorsements have not consolidated the race into a dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent against an outright winner reflects this dispersion and historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Louisiana contests. Late shifts in turnout or last-minute withdrawals could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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