**John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 11th congressional district after winning a June 2026 primary runoff with 65 percent against Rob Adkerson.** The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk, sits in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and a 2024 Trump margin of roughly 18.5 points. In the November 3 general election, Cowan faces Democrat Chris Harden plus two independents. Historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition support a comfortable Republican victory that clears the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a December 1 runoff. Trader pricing at 62 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects this structural advantage while incorporating residual uncertainty from minor-party vote splitting and the absence of recent district-specific polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
0% probabilità
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3 nov 2026
Sì
0% probabilità
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3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 11th congressional district after winning a June 2026 primary runoff with 65 percent against Rob Adkerson.** The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk, sits in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and a 2024 Trump margin of roughly 18.5 points. In the November 3 general election, Cowan faces Democrat Chris Harden plus two independents. Historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition support a comfortable Republican victory that clears the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a December 1 runoff. Trader pricing at 62 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects this structural advantage while incorporating residual uncertainty from minor-party vote splitting and the absence of recent district-specific polling.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$373Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 11th congressional district after winning a June 2026 primary runoff with 65 percent against Rob Adkerson.** The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk, sits in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and a 2024 Trump margin of roughly 18.5 points. In the November 3 general election, Cowan faces Democrat Chris Harden plus two independents. Historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition support a comfortable Republican victory that clears the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a December 1 runoff. Trader pricing at 62 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects this structural advantage while incorporating residual uncertainty from minor-party vote splitting and the absence of recent district-specific polling.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Volume
$373Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**John Cowan secured the Republican nomination for Georgia’s 11th congressional district after winning a June 2026 primary runoff with 65 percent against Rob Adkerson.** The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk, sits in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters, with a Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and a 2024 Trump margin of roughly 18.5 points. In the November 3 general election, Cowan faces Democrat Chris Harden plus two independents. Historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition support a comfortable Republican victory that clears the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a December 1 runoff. Trader pricing at 62 percent for an outright first-round winner reflects this structural advantage while incorporating residual uncertainty from minor-party vote splitting and the absence of recent district-specific polling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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