**Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and Independent Roman Coley Davis in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** The solidly Republican district, rated safe or solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ, has delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Scott’s 68.9% share in 2024. Scott advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Esti secured the Democratic nomination outright with 53.5% in her May primary. With no competitive primary runoff in the GOP and the district’s established partisan lean and rural southern Georgia voter base, traders assign an 81.3% implied probability to an outright winner (over 50%) on election night, avoiding Georgia’s majority threshold runoff. No late developments have altered the structural outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
95% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
95% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.**Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and Independent Roman Coley Davis in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** The solidly Republican district, rated safe or solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ, has delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Scott’s 68.9% share in 2024. Scott advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Esti secured the Democratic nomination outright with 53.5% in her May primary. With no competitive primary runoff in the GOP and the district’s established partisan lean and rural southern Georgia voter base, traders assign an 81.3% implied probability to an outright winner (over 50%) on election night, avoiding Georgia’s majority threshold runoff. No late developments have altered the structural outlook.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$1,589Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.**Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and Independent Roman Coley Davis in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** The solidly Republican district, rated safe or solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ, has delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Scott’s 68.9% share in 2024. Scott advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Esti secured the Democratic nomination outright with 53.5% in her May primary. With no competitive primary runoff in the GOP and the district’s established partisan lean and rural southern Georgia voter base, traders assign an 81.3% implied probability to an outright winner (over 50%) on election night, avoiding Georgia’s majority threshold runoff. No late developments have altered the structural outlook.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-08 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-08 House election.
Volume
$1,589Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Republican Austin Scott faces Democrat Kelly Esti and Independent Roman Coley Davis in Georgia’s 8th congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** The solidly Republican district, rated safe or solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ, has delivered large GOP margins in recent cycles, including Scott’s 68.9% share in 2024. Scott advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Esti secured the Democratic nomination outright with 53.5% in her May primary. With no competitive primary runoff in the GOP and the district’s established partisan lean and rural southern Georgia voter base, traders assign an 81.3% implied probability to an outright winner (over 50%) on election night, avoiding Georgia’s majority threshold runoff. No late developments have altered the structural outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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