Incumbent Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with a general runoff possible December 1 if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s D+25 partisan voter index, McBath’s prior 74.7 percent victory, unopposed Democratic primary, and low-profile Republican contest have produced trader consensus that an outright November winner is highly likely. Recent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting entrenched voting patterns and fundraising advantages. A national political shift, late scandal, or turnout surge could narrow margins, yet structural factors make a runoff improbable absent major unforeseen developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
97% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Sì
97% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with a general runoff possible December 1 if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s D+25 partisan voter index, McBath’s prior 74.7 percent victory, unopposed Democratic primary, and low-profile Republican contest have produced trader consensus that an outright November winner is highly likely. Recent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting entrenched voting patterns and fundraising advantages. A national political shift, late scandal, or turnout surge could narrow margins, yet structural factors make a runoff improbable absent major unforeseen developments.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$234Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with a general runoff possible December 1 if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s D+25 partisan voter index, McBath’s prior 74.7 percent victory, unopposed Democratic primary, and low-profile Republican contest have produced trader consensus that an outright November winner is highly likely. Recent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting entrenched voting patterns and fundraising advantages. A national political shift, late scandal, or turnout surge could narrow margins, yet structural factors make a runoff improbable absent major unforeseen developments.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Volume
$234Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with a general runoff possible December 1 if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s D+25 partisan voter index, McBath’s prior 74.7 percent victory, unopposed Democratic primary, and low-profile Republican contest have produced trader consensus that an outright November winner is highly likely. Recent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting entrenched voting patterns and fundraising advantages. A national political shift, late scandal, or turnout surge could narrow margins, yet structural factors make a runoff improbable absent major unforeseen developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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