France enters Group I as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus, buoyed by its world number-one ranking, deep attacking options led by Kylian Mbappé, and recent warm-up victories over Brazil and Colombia that underscore squad depth under Didier Deschamps. Norway sits second thanks to Erling Haaland’s proven scoring threat and a strong supporting cast that returns the side to a major tournament for the first time since 2000, positioning it as a credible challenger for second place. Senegal remains a live threat through its physical pressing game and experienced attackers such as Sadio Mané, while Iraq, the latest playoff qualifier after a 40-year absence, faces the steepest climb against this elevated competition. The group’s June schedule, beginning with France versus Senegal and Iraq versus Norway, further shapes expectations around early momentum and head-to-head history.