France's dominant 70% implied probability as Group I winners stems from their elite squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, Didier Deschamps' tactical versatility in a possession-based 4-3-3, and strong World Cup pedigree as 2022 finalists, positioning them to top the expanded group stage ahead of June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 20.5% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and qualification momentum from a gritty campaign, offering upset potential in matches versus Senegal and Iraq despite defensive lapses exposed earlier. Senegal trails at 6% amid solid counter-attacking qualifiers under Aliou Cissé with Sadio Mané sharp, but tougher fixtures and Iraq's compact organization keep others at negligible 0.1%. Recent training camps through April 18 show full fitness across teams, with no injuries or major shifts altering post-draw sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 70%
Norvegia 21%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$112,792 Vol.
$112,792 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
70%
Norvegia
21%
Senegal
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
<1%
Francia 70%
Norvegia 21%
Senegal 6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR <1%
$112,792 Vol.
$112,792 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
$45,107 Vol.
70%
Norvegia
$11,762 Vol.
21%
Senegal
$14,107 Vol.
6%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$41,817 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's dominant 70% implied probability as Group I winners stems from their elite squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, Didier Deschamps' tactical versatility in a possession-based 4-3-3, and strong World Cup pedigree as 2022 finalists, positioning them to top the expanded group stage ahead of June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 20.5% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and qualification momentum from a gritty campaign, offering upset potential in matches versus Senegal and Iraq despite defensive lapses exposed earlier. Senegal trails at 6% amid solid counter-attacking qualifiers under Aliou Cissé with Sadio Mané sharp, but tougher fixtures and Iraq's compact organization keep others at negligible 0.1%. Recent training camps through April 18 show full fitness across teams, with no injuries or major shifts altering post-draw sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$112,792Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's dominant 70% implied probability as Group I winners stems from their elite squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, Didier Deschamps' tactical versatility in a possession-based 4-3-3, and strong World Cup pedigree as 2022 finalists, positioning them to top the expanded group stage ahead of June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 20.5% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and qualification momentum from a gritty campaign, offering upset potential in matches versus Senegal and Iraq despite defensive lapses exposed earlier. Senegal trails at 6% amid solid counter-attacking qualifiers under Aliou Cissé with Sadio Mané sharp, but tougher fixtures and Iraq's compact organization keep others at negligible 0.1%. Recent training camps through April 18 show full fitness across teams, with no injuries or major shifts altering post-draw sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$112,792Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's dominant 70% implied probability as Group I winners stems from their elite squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, Didier Deschamps' tactical versatility in a possession-based 4-3-3, and strong World Cup pedigree as 2022 finalists, positioning them to top the expanded group stage ahead of June 16 opener against Senegal. Norway's 20.5% trader consensus reflects Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and qualification momentum from a gritty campaign, offering upset potential in matches versus Senegal and Iraq despite defensive lapses exposed earlier. Senegal trails at 6% amid solid counter-attacking qualifiers under Aliou Cissé with Sadio Mané sharp, but tougher fixtures and Iraq's compact organization keep others at negligible 0.1%. Recent training camps through April 18 show full fitness across teams, with no injuries or major shifts altering post-draw sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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