Spain’s status as European champions and current FIFA world number one underpins the market’s strong consensus behind them topping Group H, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal and consistent recent results in qualifiers and friendlies. Minor lengthening in Spain’s implied probability reflects temporary fitness concerns around key attackers, yet the gap to Uruguay remains wide. Marcelo Bielsa’s side sits second on the strength of solid CONMEBOL qualifying form and historical pedigree, though they trail significantly in squad quality and recent momentum. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde occupy distant positions consistent with their lower rankings and limited head-to-head success against the group’s top two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 76%
Uruguay 21%
Arabia Saudita 2.9%
Capo Verde 1.1%
$196,893 Vol.
$196,893 Vol.
Spagna
76%
Uruguay
21%
Arabia Saudita
3%
Capo Verde
1%
Spagna 76%
Uruguay 21%
Arabia Saudita 2.9%
Capo Verde 1.1%
$196,893 Vol.
$196,893 Vol.
Spagna
76%
Uruguay
21%
Arabia Saudita
3%
Capo Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain’s status as European champions and current FIFA world number one underpins the market’s strong consensus behind them topping Group H, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal and consistent recent results in qualifiers and friendlies. Minor lengthening in Spain’s implied probability reflects temporary fitness concerns around key attackers, yet the gap to Uruguay remains wide. Marcelo Bielsa’s side sits second on the strength of solid CONMEBOL qualifying form and historical pedigree, though they trail significantly in squad quality and recent momentum. Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde occupy distant positions consistent with their lower rankings and limited head-to-head success against the group’s top two.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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