Belgium enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as Group G’s clear frontrunner, reflecting its deeper squad, higher FIFA ranking, and consistent European qualifying campaign that included an unbeaten run capped by a 7-0 rout of Liechtenstein. Egypt sits second in trader pricing after an undefeated CAF qualifying path and the presence of Mohamed Salah, whose individual quality offers the group’s strongest realistic upset threat against the Red Devils. Iran’s organized defensive structure and prior tournament experience underpin its modest implied probability, while New Zealand’s recent mixed friendlies and limited depth leave it a distant fourth. The group’s June schedule, with Belgium facing Egypt first, will test whether European pedigree holds against African and Asian counterattacking styles in the opening matches.