Mexico leads trader consensus at 48% implied probability to win Group A, bolstered by home advantage as co-host with their opener against South Africa on June 11 at Estadio Azteca, plus a dominant CONCACAF qualifying campaign featuring key wins over the USA and Canada. Czechia's penalty-shootout victory over Denmark on March 31 secured their spot via UEFA Path D playoffs—after semis triumphs over Ireland and Denmark's rout of North Macedonia—elevating the bundled CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL outcome to 24% on recent European resilience. South Korea holds steady at 20% with consistent World Cup pedigree, including multiple round-of-16 runs led by Son Heung-min, while South Africa's modest African qualifying form caps them at 4.8% amid a competitive group where top-two plus best third advance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Gruppo A Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Vincitore Gruppo A Coppa del Mondo FIFA
Messico 48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL 24%
Corea del Sud 20%
Sudafrica 4.8%
$272,879 Vol.
$272,879 Vol.
Messico
48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL
24%
Corea del Sud
20%
Sudafrica
5%
Messico 48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL 24%
Corea del Sud 20%
Sudafrica 4.8%
$272,879 Vol.
$272,879 Vol.
Messico
48%
CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL
24%
Corea del Sud
20%
Sudafrica
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mexico leads trader consensus at 48% implied probability to win Group A, bolstered by home advantage as co-host with their opener against South Africa on June 11 at Estadio Azteca, plus a dominant CONCACAF qualifying campaign featuring key wins over the USA and Canada. Czechia's penalty-shootout victory over Denmark on March 31 secured their spot via UEFA Path D playoffs—after semis triumphs over Ireland and Denmark's rout of North Macedonia—elevating the bundled CZE/DEN/MKD/IRL outcome to 24% on recent European resilience. South Korea holds steady at 20% with consistent World Cup pedigree, including multiple round-of-16 runs led by Son Heung-min, while South Africa's modest African qualifying form caps them at 4.8% amid a competitive group where top-two plus best third advance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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