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icon for Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?
Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?

icon for Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?
Economy·Fed

Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?

$9,720 Vol.

5 dic 2025
Polymarket

$9,720 Vol.

Polymarket

↓ 90%

$3,433 Vol.

No

↓ 85%

$4,015 Vol.

No

↓ 80%

$2,272 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-90-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-85-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-80-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-90-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$9,720
Data di fine
5 dic 2025
Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 1:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-90-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-90-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-85-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-80-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-90-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volume
$9,720
Data di fine
5 dic 2025
Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 1:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-25bps-cut-below-90-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 3 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "↓ 90%" a 0%, seguito da "↓ 85%" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 0¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Dec 2, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?", esplora i 3 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?" è "↓ 90%" a solo 0%, con "↓ 85%" vicino a 0%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" Odds by December 5?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.